The Value Bet Plan

 

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For this example we are going to start with a betting bank of £2000, you should stake a fixed amount on each selection depending on its true value in a race. Therefore you should stick to the following plan.

Odds of horse evens or shorter - £100 win bet
Odds of 6/4 - £80 win bet
Odds of 15/8 - £70 win bet
Odds of 9/4 - £60 win bet
Odds of 3/1 - £50 win bet
Odds of 4/1 - £40 win bet

With this staking plan, you will be risking a larger portion of your betting bank on a selection that has a better chance of winning.

If you have a true even money selection, it should win one in two races, on the other hand, if you have a 4/1 shot then it should win one in five races. Therefore you have adjusted your staking to the horses true chance in a race.


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